(CoinDesk) Sveriges Riksbank, Sweden’s central bank, has published a brief economic commentary on the impact of digital currencies on the retail payments market.“Households make daily payments using cards and cash totalling 8 million in volume and to a total value of over SEK 3 billion. Even if the use of bitcoin in Sweden were to be much larger than the average exchange value of just over SEK 266,000, this is a relatively low value in relation to other types of payment. At present, there only seem to be around 25 swedish companies accepting Bitcoin.”
“It can contribute to meeting new payment needs and to making payments cheaper and more secure. Those who choose to use a particular payment service can be expected to do so because it gives them an added value in relation to other payment services. This also applies to virtual currencies, which can for instance make some cross-border payments simpler, faster and cheaper. Another advantage is if the payer does not need to share sensitive information, such as card number or bank account number, with the payee.”
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An intrinsic
theory of value (also called theory of objective value) is any theory
of value in economics which holds that the value of an object, good or
service, is intrinsic or contained in the item itself. Most such
theories look to the process of producing an item, and the costs
involved in that process, as a measure of the item’s intrinsic value.
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(CoinDesk) Charles Darwin first published his theory of natural selection in his book On the Origin of Species
in 1859. The result of over 30 years of research, Darwin delivered to
the world a new understanding of how modern species came to be, evolving
over generations.
The son of a wealthy English family, Darwin was not a man in need of money. Nonetheless, for On the Origin of Species and his other publications, Darwin received royalties that were most likely paid in British Sterling.
Still in existence, the British Pound has origins dating back as far as 750
A.D. making it the world’s longest-surviving active currency. At the
time, I wonder if Darwin recognized that the very currency by which he
was being compensated would one day be subject to his very theory of
natural selection?
It is a realization that would become far more evident 150 years later with the advent of blockchain technology.
For the fortunate minority throughout history, as with Darwin, a given
currency is not subject to question. It serves as the accepted means of
exchange and is recognized as such from the time one is old enough to
understand value.
In this way, currencies are not understood as subject to the laws of natural selection. For the less fortunate
majority throughout history, and likely for more fortunate generations
to come, this may not be the case.
Natural Selection can be defined as the process by which specific traits become
more or less common in a population over time and it serves as the
foundation for the theory of evolution. It is the result of the relative
success or failure of these traits competing in a given environment.
Put more simply, it embodies the concept of “survival of the fittest”.
Darwin famously defended his theory by describing the various species of
finches observed on the Galapagos Islands.
He noted 13 separate species of finch within the ecosystem, each with its
own unique food supply. The key differentiating trait between each
species was the unique structure and size of beak. Darwin argued that
each specie of finch had evolved as the result of varied food supply,
where each beak was the best suited to each specific food source
available within their environment.
The law of natural selection is most often observed in nature but can also be applied outside of this
realm. Corporations are forced to continuously compete and evolve to
remain relevant and profitable. Those corporations with the necessary
traits such as the ability to innovate, adapt and comply with
regulations succeed, while many more go extinct.
Whatever the environment may be, specific traits prove advantageous while others do
not. It is in understanding which traits provide advantage and which do
not that once can better understand how the fittest survived, and
furthermore predict who the fittest will be in the future.
Before we can understand how natural selection applies to currencies, we must
first define the traditional traits that have been used to characterize
them. For the purposes of keeping in line with the language of Darwin,
we will refer to what is traditionally stated as a property of money as a trait.
Table 1.0 displays the commonly accepted traits that characterize money as well as an
estimated rating as to the ability of each specific medium, in this case
gold and fiat currencies, to fulfil these traits within the modern
environment on a scale of High, Medium, and Low.
While the ratings of these traits are subject to debate, the table below provides a relatively accurate representation.
Gold has long served as an established means of exchange as well as a
commodity. Gold coins were adopted by King Croesus around 550 BC. King
Croesus was no fool. He selected gold as it fulfilled many of the
necessary traits to act as money.
Relative to the era, it was highly fungible, non-consumable, durable and scarce. These traits were
strong enough to become a leading form of money simply because there was
nothing else around that fulfilled these requirements as well.
But why did the king not select stones or feathers? The answer is that
these forms failed to be fungible, highly divisible, secure, and scarce.
The fact that gold has remained a valued commodity for thousands of years speaks to the
importance of these specific traits. In fact, the combination of traits
possessed by gold and other precious metals eventually provided the
foundation for the next evolution in money, fiat currency.
In money’s next evolution of specie, fiat currency fulfilled several
critical traits to an even greater degree than gold. Paper was more
portable and could be more easily transacted. That is not to say it was
entirely superior. In many cases fiat currencies lacked durability, and
as we will see, would eventually become less and less scarce. In fact,
many fiat currencies have failed due to inflation; a inevitable result
of the inability of the currency to remain scarce.
As a specie of currency, fiat currencies were not perfect but nonetheless
flourished in the last millennia. But how can this be? Are the benefits
of better fungibility and transportability really that significant as to
reign as the dominant specie of currency for so long?
In reality, much of the credit for their rise, survival and success is due to the
existence of another less recognized trait. The trait of centralized
sovereignty lead to the creation and issuance of hundreds of new forms
of money. Table 2.0 displays the degree to which gold and fiat
currencies fulfill the traditionally recognized traits of money in
addition to the newly recognized trait of sovereignty.
As of May 2014, there were 193 recognized fiat currencies in circulation regularly competing in global markets.
Each of these currencies belong to the same specie, fiat. It is important to
recognize that dollars, euros and yen were not mined or extracted from
the environment. These are man-made; designed and issued by centralized
authorities.
For centuries, the specie of fiat currency has thrived as a result of this fact and that these forms of money could be
used to pay taxes. In the course of its existence fiat currency has
evolved from a hybrid, by which the currency has been backed by a valued
commodity such as gold, to a self-standing form of money with no
physical backing.
During this period of time, the most notable trait to have changed for the world’s most widely recognized fiat
standard, the US dollar, has been scarcity. Once backed by gold, the
dollar was severed from the commodity in 1971 and as a result its
scarcity is no longer a trait that the specie of fiat currency fulfills.
In fact, to the surprise of many, there no longer remains a single fiat
currency in existence that is backed by gold. This evolution, or what
could possibly be regarded as de-evolution, of fiat currency as a specie
may have significant implications on its ability to compete and survive
in an environment with dynamically changing conditions.
The invention of the block chain has given rise to a new specie of currency, that of cryptocurrency.
The arrival of cryptographic-based currencies has enabled key new traits
previously not possible with traditional forms of money. Furthermore,
the realization of such traits will likely have a dramatic impact on the
environment in which these currencies compete.
Table 3.0 now includes the specie of cryptocurrency when rated against the
traditional and newly realized traits of money. The two newly-realized
traits include the following:
Extinction can most simply be described as the failure of a specie to compete in
an environment to such at a degree that it eventually ceases to exist.
The inability to compete itself may be the result of two primary causes;
increased competition from superior species or a dramatic change in
environment.
For the dinosaurs, particularly land-based species,
the traits of size and strength were essential to their rise to
prominence. Although these traits enabled them to thrive for centuries
they did not allow them to compete as a specie forever.
The advantages they enjoyed at the time also meant that they required large
consistent amounts resources, most particularly food and oxygen. As a
result, at the end of the Cretaceous Period many specie were unable to
survive what is widely believed to have been the arrival of a
earth-shaking comet known as the K-T Event.
Evidence suggests that a large comet impacted earth and darkened the sky with dust and ash.
The blocking of the sun starved sun-dependent plant life and resulted in
a sharp reduction to the supply of oxygen.
The Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences estimates that this event killed off
75% of species. The traits that had once helped dinosaurs flourish now
proved to be the traits that left them susceptible to extinction.
Meanwhile, studies show that the freshwater organisms of the time only lost 10% of
their species. The commonly accepted explanation is that the freshwater
species were already conditioned to endure annual winter freezes where
their oxygen supplies were diminished.
Their relatively limited dependence on oxygen insulated them from the effects of changes to their
environment allowing them to survive. Dramatic changes to the
conditions brought on by the K-T Event changed the paradigm and a new
combination of traits became necessary to ensure competitiveness and
survival. Meanwhile, the majority of land-based species disappeared
forever, their greatest strengths having become their greatest weaknesses.
Currency, like the dinosaurs, has already shown us that it is not always the immediately dominant specie that will survive
the test of time. In an era that has seen hundreds of highly evolved
fiat currencies go extinct, gold endures.
Charles Darwin’s theory of natural selection originated to provide an evidence based explanation
of the past. We now leverage this theory to look forward and understand
its implications on the future of currency. Given the ever-changing
conditions of the future, will gold and fiat currencies continue to compete or go the way of the dinosaur?
According to a study of 775 fiat currencies by DollarDaze.org the average life expectancy of a fiat currency is 27 years. The study
also indicated the most common causes of any given currencies extinction are hyperinflation, monetary reform, war and independence.
With fiat currencies being so susceptible to failure, gold has long served as an alternative as it is more scarce and durable. In terms of scarcity, fiat currencies can be printed and inflated at the will of their authorities.
With regards to durability, the US Federal Reserve
estimates the longest average lifespan of any paper bill is 15 years
($100 bill) with the shortest lifespan being 3.7 years ($50 bill). As a
result, gold has maintained a relatively high value in the era of fiat
currency and remains the primary alternative store of value when faith
in fiat currencies waiver. In this way, these stores of value have
primarily competed based upon only two of the traits of money; scarcity
and durability.
Fiat currencies and commodities now enter a new
paradigm where money can exist that possesses even more dynamic traits.
Gold and fiat currencies are not capable of possessing the newly
inherent traits that would make them decentralized or smart
(programmable).
Cryptocurrency has arrived adding heightened
competition. To date, bitcoin is the most widely recognized
cryptocurrency, but it is not alone. In the 5 years that
cryptocurrencies have existed over 200 have been established and the
list is growing.
Furthermore, the currencies themselves are in a state of hyper-evolution
as they continue to take on a varied array of distinctive traits that
set them apart from one another within their own competitive ecosystem.
Equally as threatening to traditional forms of money, the conditions of the
environment in which currencies compete is in a constant state of
change. Undertones of growing distrust in centralized entities encourage
populations to considered alternatives stores of value.
Sovereignty,
once a trait that was necessary for the survival of a currency, may now
be falling out of favor. Centralized failures such as the US financial
crisis of 2008 or hyper-inflated fiat currencies such as Zimbabwe
dollars or Argentinian pesos compound these sentiments. The most
profound of these conditions is the growing awareness throughout the
world that decentralized trust is possible.
It is interesting to imagine what Charles Darwin would make of the current state of currency.
History would have us believe that the existence and survival of any
entity, be it plant, animal, corporation, or currency is the subject to
the laws of natural selection.
With this understanding, it is hard to imagine Darwin contesting the opinion that cryptocurrency will prove
a competitive force against traditional specie of money.
Ultimately, the real question may not be whether or not Darwin would predict the
survival of cryptocurrency, rather would he be willing exchange those
British Sterling pounds for it?
Author Bio:
Ryan Walker is an independent
consultant and cryptocurrency enthusiast based out of Denver, Colorado.
Here, he joins the dots between Darwin’s theory of evolution, fiat money
and the rise of cryptocurrencies.
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Dogecoin, the Internet meme turned cryptocurrency, has never had trouble gaining publicity. In January the Doge community sponsored the Jamaican bobsled team at the Sochi Olympics, then in March the Dogecoin subreddit sponsored NASCAR driver Josh Wise at Talladega Speedway. It was an idea, it seems, that has spawned a host of imitators.
For those who don’t know, this is an annual road race from France (this year the starting points are Paris in the north and Bordeaux in the south) down through Spain to Marrakesh, Morrocco. The race is only open to students aged 18 to 28, and they may only use Renault 4 cars. The teams have 10 days to make it from start to finish, over a course that includes 1,500 miles of harsh North African desert. Established in 1997 in Rennes, the 4L Trophy is mainly done to provide children with school supplies. This year an estimated 80 tons of school furniture was delivered by 2,648 students representing 1,324 teams from 1,460 colleges. With a market cap of less than $200K at the time of this writing, it is unclear if the KARMA team will be able to raise the funds necessary to participate in the race, With a volume of 50 billion KARMA in existence, it seems that they wish to compete with both doge and Reddcoin as the default tipping currency for the internet, so this could see the value rise as people buy KARMA to help sponsor the team.
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Image courtesy: abc.net.au
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Another athlete being sponsored by crypto is Elsa Hammond who is attempting to row 2,400 miles across the Pacific Ocean from California to Hawaii in the first Great Pacific Race. Consisting of soloists or teams up to four, there are no sails or motors allowed, making this is a grueling test of physical and mental stamina. To help offset the cost ($336,000) Ms. Hammond, the only European contestant in the race, is asking donors for $70 (42 Pounds Sterling) per mile. In exchange Hammond will add your special woman’s name to her boat. She has also secured a sponsorship from Ultracoin whose founder has promised “substantial” amounts of Ultracoin after the completion of the event. With Ultracoin set to peak at 100 million coins the term “substantial” could really be anything, so that will be interesting to watch.
At the time of this writing Ultracoin has a market cap of over $400,000 and sell for roughly $.03 each, so the sponsorship could be significant. This would definitely be a good thing for Hammond since she plans to donate to gender equality charity The Great Initiative, as well as the Plastic Oceans Foundation.
VERTCOIN
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“This
is a one-shot opportunity for Scotland to truly become an international
powerhouse if we can take back the power of our monetary issuance as
credit, as opposed to issued debt with interest from privately owned and
operated banking interests and cartels.”
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Tim Swanson is an educator, researcher and the author of ‘Great Wall of Numbers: Business Opportunities and Challenges in China’. Here, he explores the mining systems of dogecoin and litecoin to show how the dogecoin economy can thrive.
(CoinDesk) The key ingredient to the success of any decentralized public ledger, such as bitcoin, is incentivizing its transactional network to simultaneously secure the network from attackers and process transactions.
In the case of bitcoin, and in the case of virtually all other cryptocurrencies, this incentivization process is handled through seigniorage. Every 10 minutes (or 2.5 minutes for litecoin, or one minute for dogecoin) a fixed amount of bitcoins is paid to the labor force called “miners.” These miners are computational systems that perform never-ending mathematical calculations dubbed hashing. This hashing in turn creates security for the network; so as long as more than 50% of the hashrate is maintained by “good” systems, bad actors are prevented from manipulating the ledger.
The other key role these miners also fill is processing and including transactions into packages called blocks. Every 10 minutes, one miner is rewarded for processing these blocks with fixed income. Last month David Evans published a good overview of how this process looks from a labor input and supply output perspective.
For some advocates, one of the purported advantages of cryptocurrencies is that their money supply creation rate is actually deflationary (or contractionary) in the long run – in the short run, bitcoin’s expansionary rate is quite high, with inflation at 11.1% this year alone. That is to say, it is a hardcoded asymptote, tapering off over a known time period. In the case of bitcoin, the wage for the labor force (miners) is split in half roughly every four years (every 210,000 blocks), for approximately the next 100 years – until its money supply is exhausted at a final 21 million bitcoins.
Roughly 12.7 million bitcoins have already been paid to miners. With dogecoin’s 100 billion dogecoins, this process is accelerated, with the mining income dividing in half every two months. While it took about five and a half years for about 60% of bitcoin’s total monetary base to be distributed, as of today 78% of dogecoin’s reward (income) has already been divvied out to its workforce in less than six months.
While this frenetically fast money supply has provided a psychological motivation for early adopters to partake in the dogecoin ecosystem, economic law suggests that this network will probably cease to exist in its current form within the next six months probably through a 51% attack.
The reason is simple: with every block reward halving, also called “halvingday”, the labor force is faced with a 50% pay cut. The contractors (laborers) incapable of profitably providing hashrate at this level can and will leave the work force for greener pastures. This same issue has impacted other altcoins in the past, such as MemoryCoin, which died after nine months due to a combination of factors including diminished block rewards (it attempted to divvy out its entire monetary supply in two years).
Early advocates of dogecoin like to point to outlier events such as the Doge bobsled team or sponsored NASCAR driver at Talladega or even a vaunted tipping economy (which is actually just faucet redistribution) as goal posts for growth and popularity, yet after two halvingdays the actual dogecoin block chain has lost transactional volume each month over the past four months and the labor force has also left for new employment elsewhere.
This is visualized in the following two graphs.
The first chart shows dogecoin’s collective hashrate. The black lines indicate when the “halvingday” or rather “income halvingday” occurred. Because the price level of a dogecoin remained relatively constant during this time frame, there was less incentive for miners to stay and provide labor for the network. If token values increased once again, then there may be incentives in the short-term for laborers to rejoin the network. Yet based on this diagram, roughly 20-30% of the labor force left after each pay cut.
The second chart shows on-chain transactional activity. The first three months are erratic because of how mining pools (similar to lottery pools) paid their workforce (miners). Following the first halving day in February, the network transaction rate fell to roughly 40,000 transactions per day and then leveled off to around 20,000 until 28th April 2014, when another halvingday occurred and the subsequent transactional volume remained relatively flat to negative. It is currently at 12,850 transaction per day, or roughly the same level it was during the first week of its launch five months ago.
Now, some readers may claim that a lot of the transactional volume such as tip services and tip bots are being conducted off-chain and thus the total number of transactions is likely higher. And they would be correct. But that would completely defeat the purpose of having a block chain in the first place – a trustless mechanism for bilateral exchange that negates the need for “trust-me” silos (as Austin Hill calls them).
Also, while this topic deserves its own series of articles, there is little literature that suggests that tipping can grow
an economy; it is not a particularly good signaling mechanism or way to grow a developing economy (i.e., “China, you need more tipping activity to grow and prosper”).
However the key issue is this: if the trend continues and the network hashrate continues to fall 20-30% after each halvingday, then within the next two to four months it will be increasingly inexpensive for competing mining pools on other ledgers to conduct a 51% attack on dogecoin’s network, destroying its credibility and utility.
For instance, the chart below is the litecoin hashrate over the past six months. Litecoin is dogecoin’s largest competitor based on its proof of work (PoW) mechanism called scrypt:
One of the reasons the litecoin hashrate is not rising or falling at a constant rate but is instead jumping up and down erratically is that miners as a whole are economically rational actors. When the cost of producing security is more than the reward (block reward income), the labor force turns towards a more profitable process such as another alternative scrypt-based “coin” (note: bitcoin’s hashing method uses SHA256d whereas litecoin and dogecoin use scrypt). The same phenomenon of hashrate jumping up and down occurs with the bitcoin network.
For the sake of simplicity, the litecoin network can be viewed as roughly 200 GH/s versus the dogecoin кошелек network which is roughly 50 GH/s. To conduct a 51% attack on dogecoin today, an entity would need to control roughly 25-26 GH/s which is roughly one eighth the processing power of the litecoin network. The current ‘market cap’ for dogecoin is $35 million, assuming marginal value equals marginal cost, ceteris parebus on paper it could cost $17.5 million in capital and operating expenses to successfully attack the dogecoin network.
The chart above shows both the hashrate of litecoin (in red) and dogecoin with the vertical black lines representing the dogecoin “halvingday.” What this shows is that while dogecoin, for roughly one month in early 2014 was more profitable to mine than litecoin, the halvingday led to an exodus of labor.
If current prices and trends continue, which they may not, in two months the litecoin collective hashrate may hit 240 GH/s and dogecoins hashrate could shrink due to halvingday by another 20% to 40 GH/s. At this rate a successful 51% attack on dogecoin would require just one twelfth of the hashing power of litecoin which at the same prices levels would entail less than $10 million in capital and operating expenses to do.
While the development team could theoretically switch its proof of work algorithm (to X11 as used in Dash), the doge community is really faced with six options:
While any or all of these may be tried out, it may be too little, too late. With that said, stranger things have happened. A rising tide lifts all boats and thus in the event that “bitlicense” approved exchanges on Wall Street come online this summer and new capital actually flows into bitcoin and other alternative ledgers, perhaps similar speculative funding will flow into dogecoin as well. However, this is not something that can be known a priori.
I contacted Jackson Palmer, creator of dogecoin for his thoughts on the situation. In his view:
“It is definitely a challenge that dogecoin (and all current-gen crypto currencies) will face in the future. As we discussed recently, it’s kind of a sad reality that people are purely profit driven and these decentralized networks we’ve built are reliant on profit-mongers to power and secure their viability. I’m very concerned about the impact of centralized mining and reliance on transaction fees could hold for bitcoin as it becomes less enticing to mine – really, the network can be held at ransom to attach hefty transaction fees if the mining pools are cherry picking as they create blocks. At the end of the day, I think the viability of cryptocurrency really hinges on a move away from PoW-based mining to something new and innovative that doesn’t just stimulate an arms race and put all the power back into the hands of the fiat-wealthy. I don’t have a solution unfortunately, but hopefully someone will find one and bring about a new generation of digital currencies in the coming five to ten years. That being said, cryptocurrency as a space is very unpredictable so it wouldn’t surprise me at all if dogecoin beats the odds and overcomes these challenges in some weird, wacky way. It’s in the community’s hands, and they’re certainly passionate about seeing it reach the moon, as am I.”
To be balanced, below is the network hashrate for the Bitcoin network following its first halvingday on November 28, 2012:
The following two months, from December 2012 through January 2013, the hashrate stayed flat and in some weeks even declined. There were three reasons why the network did not decline precipitously like dogecoin:
While more research will be conducted and published in the following months and years before the next bitcoin halvingday (estimated to occur probably before August 2016), the bitcoin network faces a similar existential hurdle, though perhaps less stark once more ASIC processes hit similar node fabrication limitations. That is to say, in the next couple of years there will no longer be performance gains measured in orders of magnitude. They will likely compete on energy costs. Since most participants do not like paying transaction fees, incentivizing miners to stay and provide security will likely be problematic for the same income reduction issues. This scenario will likely be revisited by many others in the coming months and years.
From a marketing perspective Dogecoin has done more to bring fun and excitement to this sub-segment of digital currencies than most other efforts – remember, USD can also be digitized and encrypted. In turn it brought in a new diverse demographic base to block chain technology, namely women. While some of the more outlandish gimmicks will likely not be enough to on-ramp the necessary token demand which in turn leads to token appreciation, this project has not gone unnoticed.
For instance, two weeks ago I had coffee with a bank manager in the San Francisco financial district. As we were wrapping up he asked me to explain dogecoin. I mentioned that what sets doge apart from the rest was its community was much more open towards self-ridicule, self-parody, less elitist and most importantly, women actually attended meetups.
He quickly surmised, “Oh, so it’s the wingman currency. It’s the friend you bring to the bar who is willing to look goofy to help you out.”
That is probably a fair enough assessment and it will likely need a wingman to survive.
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“A
digital currency in which encryption techniques are used to regulate
the generation of units of currency and verify the transfer of funds,
operating independently of a central bank.”
“Decentralized
cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin now provide an outlet for personal
wealth that is beyond restriction and confiscation.”
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NXT is built along different lines to bitcoin, both ideologically andOpen your free digital wallet here to store your cryptocurrencies in a safe place.
(CoinReport) Litecoin is the second most valued digital currency on the market, only being bested by bitcoin. However, litecoin is not just a knock-off to the world’s first digital coin. It was intended by its developers to improve on the structure set forth by bitcoin.
The main two differences that separates litecoin from bitcoin:
1) Litecoin processes a block every two and a half minutes, while bitcoin processes a block every 10 minutes.
2) Litecoin will total 84 million coins, unlike bitcoin’s cap of 21 million.
The digital currency continues to catch individuals and business owners by storm, as more businesses are accepting it as a form of payment. CoinReport has compiled a list of the Top 5 businesses that have begun implementing Litecoin into their finances.

“Crypto currencies are the future, it’s plainly obvious and people need to understand that Bitcoin and other coins are not going away. Without sounding terse, you can’t stop progress.”
“You will find the Litecoin payment method option when you complete an order through the checkout on our website.”
“GoCoin makes it extremely easy for us to accommodate new customers looking to
pay with bitcoin and other emerging digital currencies like litecoin.
Their platform secures the coin exchange for cash within minutes,
creating a real win/win for my dealership and my customers.”
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